By Maria Weber

This article deals historical past to the Asian problem from an financial, political and social perspective, and indicates attainable eventualities that can ensue sooner or later. The research is split in elements. the 1st comprises region reviews of the most Asian international locations in the course of the problem, starting with China, Japan and Southeast Asia, by means of South Asia and primary Asia. the second one makes a speciality of overseas variables, together with environmental, political, and local concerns.

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Extra info for After the Asian Crises: Perspectives on Global Politics and Economics

Example text

As we have observed, China is slowly moving in this direction, with the recent introduction of local elections, in villages and townships, and with a more assertive NPC. In other words the Chinese leadership seems willing to concede some formal powers to the localities as long as they do not question the central authority of Beijing and of the CCP. Great China: Towards the Year 2000 23 In this scenario, China would become a ‘horizontal type authoritarian political system’ or an ‘Asian-style democracy’ like Singapore, where one hegemonic party holds power and occupies all political ground, but accepts the political collaboration of all those who accept its supremacy and wish to co-operate in building society.

Gone are the days when Professor Ezra F. Vogel could write a book entitled Japan as Number One. Lessons for America (Vogel, 1979). The Japan of today is rather portrayed as a country which is deeply shaken, confused and uncertain about its economy, institutions and even its social and moral values. But is Japan really so weak and fragile? The prevailing mood, at the end of the twentieth century is so grim and negative that many observers, both Japanese and foreigners, tend to forget or disregard Japan’s strengths and potential.

Should this model hold sway in the coming years, it can be reasonably assumed that the forum for political participation will be extended and opened up to emerging social actors. Such a context would encourage an enlargement of the decision-making base to those political groups that accept the ‘guiding role of the CCP’ and are willing to contribute towards economic reforms. What are the most likely political scenarios for China? There is every reason to believe that the scenarios for the coming decades will be built on the consolidation of economic reforms and on political stability.

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